The NASA/Hansen Climate Model Prediction Of Global Warming Vs. Climate Reality
Over the past decade, the public and policymakers have come to realize just how atrocious climate models are at predictions, forecasting and future climate scenarios.
Honestly, it’s a wonder anyone still listens to any of the conventional, “consensus” climate modelers at this point, especially the modeling “experts” at NASA.
This chart depicts the famous global warming predictions made by NASA’s chief climate scientist in 1988 at a hearing before the U.S. Senate.
NASA’s James Hansen declared that if the world did not change its way, and kept emitting CO2 in the ‘business-as-usual’ (BAU) manner, global warming would skyrocket, threatening all of civilization. This is the ‘Scenario A’ plot on the chart.
Well…..not only has the world matched the ‘BAU’ growth of the 15 years prior to the 1988 testimony, we have increased the CO2 emission tonnes growth from 1.8% per year to 2.2% (the 15 years prior to 2013). To put those numbers into context, from 1972 through 1987, humans emitted 302 billion tonnes of CO2; in contrast, from 1998 through 2012 humans produced 461 billion tonnes.
Yet, despite the NASA “expertise” and the gigantic growth of human CO2 emissions, actual global temperatures over the past 25 years have closely matched Hansen’s ‘Scenario C’, which he predicted would take place if CO2 emissions had been limited to year 2000 levels…..didn’t happen.
Unexpectedly (i.e. not predicted), global temperatures flat-lined and CO2 emissions continued on their merry, amazing growth path, unabated.
Regarding climate reality, the lack of global warming was not a prediction that climate models were programmed to produce. The models do not rely on natural climate change or natural climate warming and cooling attributes. It is not in the models’ software “DNA” because human climate experts really don’t understand the chaotic nature of Earth’s climate, nor comprehend the true power of nature.