Tropical Pacific Ocean surface waters have returned to ENSO-neutral temperatures after exceeding El Niño levels in November and early December. Full post here & here

It should be apparent from both the temperature and rainfall datasets that British climate is changing much less than we are led to believe. The Met Office has now published its data for 2018. We can expect plenty of claims about last year being the 7th warmest in the UK since records began (in 1910). […]

2018 was 6th warmest year globally of last 40 years. Global temperature trend has been downwards since El Nino peak in February 2016. The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for December, 2018 was +0.25 deg. C, down a little from +0.28 deg. C in November: Global area-averaged lower tropospheric temperature anomalies […]

This unreliability of the science is now a widely accepted scandal in many other areas of study and it has a name: the replication crisis. When checks are made to replicate or confirm scientific results, it is regularly found that about half have flaws. Scientists from James Cook University have just published a paper on […]

The much debated and researched so-called pause or hiatus in global surface temperatures between 1997 and 2014 never existed according to a new study. Using simple statistics it looked at and dismissed over 200 peer-reviewed papers that analysed the pause and concluded it was a real phenomenon. How did they, and the IPCC, get it […]

The Great Barrier Reef fared better during an oceanic heat wave last year than during sizzling weather a year earlier that caused hundreds of miles of corals to bleach, according to a study published Monday that suggests the massive structure may be growing more tolerant to climate change. The report in the journal Nature Climate Change analyzed how corals […]

In 2018, Greenland’s total  surface mass budget (SMB) is almost 150bn tonnes above the average for 1981-2010, ranking as sixth highest on record. The Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) also performs daily simulations of how much ice or water the Ice Sheet loses or accumulates. Based on these simulations, an overall assessment of how the surface […]

An extrapolated forecast based on the actual trend to date might be more useful to planners than the Met Office’s predictions. Over the last few days, I have been reviewing the official forecasts of climate change for the UK, going right back to the first iteration in 1991. It’s fair to say that so far […]