From the bad news, suitably simplified, before the Paris Climate talks department comes a press release issued by the UK Met Office saying that the global annual average temperature for 2015 is set to exceed one degree C above pre-industrial levels. This means that we are halfway to the much-discussed hypothesis of the two degree […]

The global warming hiatus is one of the most important topics in climate science. The data shows us something very interesting is happening and many scientists are producing amazing research in pursuit of an explanation. It will not be explained or dismissed by this or that paper, and the latest one championed in the media […]

Dr David Whitehouse This year is probably going to set a record for global annual average surface temperature. Given this it is inevitable that there will be assertions that the much-debated “pause” in surface temperature is over and that global warming has resumed. Peter Hannam Environment Editor of the The Sydney Morning Herald is sure […]

It’s very hard to overlook the fact that, over the past decade, climate models are simulating way too much warming and are diverging rapidly from reality. This post provides an update of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS through September 2015 and HADCRUT4 and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through […]

Contrary to claims by the Met Office UK summers have actually been getting cooler since 2006. Indeed, the 5-year average is back down to what it was in 1992. We are all familiar with predictions that the UK will soon be having Mediterranean summers every year. According to the Met Office’s Climate: Observations, Projections and Impacts, issued […]

End of September assessment reinforces the “pause” in Arctic ice trends at this time of year since 2007, and arguably 2005. NSIDC have now published the Arctic sea ice extents for the end of September. This is how things compare with previous years: ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/ Although the minimum this year dipped below the last two years, […]

A natural cooling process which reverses the effects of global warming could be nearly twiceas powerful as scientists previously believed. The research has thrown climate change estimates in doubt Research has identified a natural system where volatile organic compounds (VOC) are emitted into the air from the sea. These VOCs cause the climate to cool […]

MASIE Proves Yearly Arctic Ice Recovering You will be hearing a lot about 2015 having the fourth lowest minimum Arctic ice extent ever recorded. Here is what they are not telling you: MASIE has very helpfully provided their records for the last ten years.  Since stormy weather can affect both maximum and minimum ice extents, […]