Computer models used by Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) suggest that the emergence of the expected El Nino Pacific Ocean warming event is becoming less likely. Only three of the eight computer models surveyed by BoM indicate the possibility of ocean conditions reaching El Nino thresholds by the middle of the southern hemisphere summer, with the […]

In its response to the 2014 Annual GWPF Lecture given last night by Owen Paterson, the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) has issued a statement to what Mr Paterson said. It was immediately taken up by the twittersphere, with some calling it “robust and thorough.” Unfortunately when it comes to Paterson’s claim that the earth’s […]

Climate scientists have confessed they are baffled – yet again – by another all-time record area of sea covered by ice around the Antarctic coasts. “What we’re learning is, we have more to learn,” said Ted Scambos, lead scientist at the US National Snow and Ice Data Center, announcing the latest annual sea ice maximum […]

There has been reference at various times this year to “record temperatures”. In reality though, temperatures are only slightly up on last year on GISS, while UAH is exactly the same as they showed for 2013. RSS figures are already out for September, virtually unchanged from August at 0.21C, which will bring the average anomaly […]

In all probability 2014 will continue the global surface temperature standstill in a statistically perfect manner. Articles are starting to appear discussing the global average surface temperature of 2014. I am always reluctant to say too much about the final temperature of 2014 until its final month though my reservations are not shared by others. […]

For the second year in a row the Antarctic has set a new record for sea ice extent. Daily Antarctic sea ice extent as plotted by the University of Bremen using satellite data. 2014 is the red line. Courtesy: University of Bremen. Satellite data suggests that Antarctic sea ice extent – the extent of ocean […]

How long the temperature pause must last before it would falsify the more catastrophic versions of man-made climate change remains an open question. The science is settled. Maybe. Let’s take look at some recent studies that aim to explain why projected increases in global average temperature have “paused” even as global greenhouse gas concentrations in […]

Extreme rainfall has been notably infrequent in the last decade. Further to my earlier post on Phil Jones’ paper on UK precipitation extremes, which showed little trend in extreme rainfall in England & Wales, I have taken a closer look at one of the regions used in the England & Wales Precipitation Series, the Central region, […]