• How Far Will Global Temperature Drop After El Nino?

    • Date: 03/11/16
    • David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor

    After the recent intense El Nino peaked between January – April global monthly temperatures this year have been declining. Although they remain high they are expected to decline further as the El Nino effect finally recedes.   One important factor frequently missing in reports is that El Nino is a short-term event – weather not climate. […]

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  • The BLOB Has Dissipated

    • Date: 31/10/16
    • Bob Tisdale – Climate Observations

    The Pacific Blob began to decay noticeably in early-to-mid October and has now basically disappeared from its normal location. Animation 1 – Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Maps from the CMC Environment Canada (September 17, 2016 and October 27, 2016) The Blob was the name given to the area of elevated sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern […]

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  • British Climate History: 250 Years Of Spring Temperatures & First Flowering Dates In The UK

    • Date: 29/10/16
    • Paul Homewood, Not A Lot of People Know That

    A new paper about the last 250 years of spring temperatures in the UK reinforces the contention that there is actually very little difference between now and the period of 1910 to 1934. My attention was drawn to this paper today. As the title infers, it investigated first flowering dates in the UK, and came […]

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  • Global Cooling: Stronger-Than-Expected La Niña May Be Brewing

    • Date: 20/10/16
    • Karen Braun, Reuters

    Cooling sea surface temperatures in the key Niño 3.4 region have touched the levels of early 2012. Many have doubted forecasts calling for the onset of the first La Niña in almost five years, believing that its failure to materialize in convincing fashion last summer – as originally predicted – means that it may be off […]

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  • No Slowdown In Temperature Hiatus Research

    • Date: 14/10/16
    • David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor

    A small sample of new research papers in scientific journals shows that the global temperature hiatus is widely accepted in the scientific community. “There was no global hiatus,” said Hansen et al. in a review of the global temperature of 2015. Last year, of course, like the year before and this year, had global temperatures elevated by a very strong […]

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  • Arctic Ice Extent Recovering At Record Pace

    • Date: 30/09/16
    • Paul Homewood, Not A Lot Of People Know That

    Arctic sea ice continues to grow back at a phenomenal rate. Since the start of the month, growth has comfortable exceeded anything on record since daily figures began in 1987. ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/ Ice has expanded by 0.896 million sq km, compared to the 1981-2010 average of 0.237 million sq km. According to NSIDC, ice extent now […]

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  • A Ten-Year Hiatus In Arctic Ice Decline?

    • Date: 22/09/16
    • David Whitehouse, GWPF Science Editor

    It’s that time of year when the minimum ice extent in the Arctic. One common way to look at it is to pick a particular month and wield a straight line. Fig 1 is from 1979 showing the ice extent going down and down, prompting claims of an ice-free Arctic sometime in the near future. […]

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  • Has The Pacific Blob Delayed La Niña?

    • Date: 13/09/16
    • David Whitehouse, Science Editor

    The Pacific Blob’s contribution to the record global temperatures is significant. Is it also delaying the La Niña? In most of the discussions about the factors behind the record-breaking global temperature of 2015 and probably 2016, the crucial contribution made by an intense El Niño is often mentioned, though not as often as it should be. […]

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